Description
This report is focused on technical ceramic materials market and supply-chain which includes SiC/ CVD SiC, AlN, Al2O3, Y2O3, and BN used in the production of components and assemblies for use in semiconductor process equipment. SiC is frequently used for both carriers (boats, gas injectors, and fabware) and components for OEMs where high temperature or specific thermal packages are required, while traditional Al2O3 and AlN ceramics are normally used for lower temperature / etch applications. The machines/tools manufacturers that use these components are referred to as OEMs (Original Equipment Manufacturers). This report targets ceramics used in the manufacture of semiconductors, only.
• Includes in-depth information on the ceramics market dynamics and supply chain, including raw materials. Market shares, market forecast as well as raw material suppliers and capacity are included. Technical trends and requirements are also included along with a full section of supplier profiles.
• Includes 3 Quarterly Updates, with updates on market trends and forecasts from the analyst
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Table of Contents
1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 9
1.1 CERAMICS BUSINESS – MARKET OVERVIEW 10
1.2 MARKET TRENDS IMPACTING 2024 OUTLOOK 11
1.3 CERAMICS 5-YEAR REVENUE FORECAST BY SEGMENT 12
1.4 CERAMICS SEGMENT TRENDS 13
1.5 CERAMICS TECHNOLOGY TRENDS 14
1.6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE 15
1.7 TOP-4 SUPPLIERS’ ACTIVITIES & REPORTED REVENUES 16
1.8 EHS, TRADE, AND/OR LOGISTICS ISSUES/CONCERNS 17
1.9 ANALYST ASSESSMENT OF CERAMICS 18
2 SCOPE, PURPOSE, AND METHODOLOGY 19
2.1 SCOPE 20
2.2 PURPOSE & METHODOLOGY 21
2.3 OVERVIEW OF OTHER TECHCET CMR™ OFFERINGS 22
3 SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRY MARKET STATUS & OUTLOOK 23
3.1 WORLDWIDE ECONOMY AND OVERALL INDUSTRY OUTLOOK 24
3.1.1 SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES TIES TO THE GLOBAL ECONOMY 26
3.1.2 SEMICONDUCTOR SALES GROWTH 27
3.1.3 TAIWAN OUTSOURCE MANUFACTURER MONTHLY SALES TRENDS 28
3.2 CHIPS SALES BY ELECTRONIC GOODS SEGMENT 29
3.2.1 ELECTRONICS OUTLOOK 30
3.2.2 AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY OUTLOOK 31
3.2.2.1 ELECTRIC VEHICLE (EV) MARKET TRENDS 32
3.2.2.2 INCREASE IN SEMICONDUCTOR CONTENT FOR AUTOS 33
3.2.3 SMARTPHONE OUTLOOK 34
3.2.4 PC OUTLOOK 35
3.2.5 SERVERS / IT MARKET 36
3.3 SEMICONDUCTOR FABRICATION GROWTH & EXPANSION 37
3.3.1 IN THE MIDST OF HUGE INVESTMENT IN CHIP EXPANSIONS 38
3.3.2 NEW FABS IN THE US 39
3.3.3 WW FAB EXPANSION DRIVING GROWTH 40
3.3.4 EQUIPMENT SPENDING TRENDS 41
3.3.5 ADVANCED LOGIC TECHNOLOGY ROADMAPS 42
3.3.5.1 DRAM TECHNOLOGY ROADMAPS 43
3.3.5.2 3D NAND TECHNOLOGY ROADMAPS 44
3.3.6 FAB INVESTMENT ASSESSMENT 45
3.4 POLICY & TRADE TRENDS AND IMPACT 46
3.5 SEMICONDUCTOR MATERIALS OVERVIEW 47
3.5.1 TECHCET WAFER STARTS FORECAST THROUGH 2028 48
3.5.2 TECHCET MATERIALS MARKET FORECAST THROUGH 2028 49
4 CERAMICS MARKET TRENDS 50
4.1 CERAMICS MARKET TRENDS – OUTLINE 51
4.1.1 2023 CERAMICS MARKET LEADING INTO 2024 53
4.1.2 CERAMICS LANDSCAPE 54
4.1.3 CERAMICS MARKET OUTLOOK 55
4.2 CERAMICS 5-YEAR REVENUE FORECAST BY SEGMENT 56
4.2.1 CERAMICS PRODUCTION CAPACITY OF TOP SUPPLIERS –
(NO ELECTROSTATIC CHUCKS) 57
4.3 ALUMINUM NITRIDE (ALN) MARKET SEGMENT 58
4.4 AL2O3 + OTHER COMPONENTS MARKET SEGMENT 60
4.4.1 AL2O3 + OTHER COMPONENTS MARKET SEGMENT, CONTINUED 60
4.5 HPA AL2O3 62
4.6 SIC (ALL AND CVD) COMPONENTS MARKET SEGMENT 63
4.6.1 SIC (ALL AND CVD) COMPONENTS MARKET SEGMENT, CONTINUED 64
4.6.2 CVD-SIC COMPONENTS- 5-YEAR FORECAST 65
4.6.3 CVD-SIC COST COMPONENTS MARKET SHARES 66
4.6.4 CVD-SIC COST CONSIDERATIONS AND ALTERNATIVES 67
4.7 CERAMICS PRODUCTION BY REGION 68
4.8 CERAMICS PRODUCTION CAPACITY EXPANSIONS 69
4.8.1 CAPACITY EXPANSIONS & INVESTMENT ANNOUNCEMENTS 70
4.8.2 INVESTMENT ACTIVITY ADDITIONAL COMMENTS 71
4.9 CERAMICS SUPPLY VS. DEMAND BALANCE – OVERVIEW 72
4.10 PRICING TRENDS 73
4.11 TECHNOLOGY TRENDS/TECHNICAL DRIVERS - OUTLINE 74
4.11.1 CERAMICS GENERAL TECHNOLOGY OVERVIEW 75
4.12 CERAMICS PRODUCTION CAPACITY OF TOP SUPPLIERS – INCLUDES
ELECTROSTATIC CHUCKS 79
4.12.1 GENERAL TECHNOLOGY OVERVIEW - ELECTROSTATIC CHUCKS 80
4.12.2 CERAMICS GENERAL TECHNOLOGY OVERVIEW – ELECTROSTATIC CHUCKS 81
4.12.3 ELECTROSTATIC CHUCK REVENUE TREND AND FORECAST 82
4.13 CERAMICS TECHNOLOGY TRENDS 83
4.13.1 CERAMICS TECHNOLOGY TRENDS, CONTINUED 83
4.14 REGIONAL CONSIDERATIONS 86
4.14.1 REGIONAL CONSIDERATIONS – FABRICATORS’ REVENUES BY COUNTRY 87
4.14.2 REGIONAL ASPECTS AND DRIVERS 88
4.15 EHS AND TRADE/LOGISTIC ISSUES 91
4.15.1 EHS AND TRADE/LOGISTIC ISSUES- TRANSPORTATION 91
4.15.2 EHS ISSUES – ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT 96
4.15.3 TRADE/LOGISTICS ISSUES- SUMMARY 97
4.16 ANALYST ASSESSMENT OF CERAMICS MARKET TRENDS 99
5 SUPPLY-SIDE MARKET LANDSCAPE 100
5.1 CERAMICS MARKET SHARE 101
5.1.1 CERAMICS FABRICATORS OFFERINGS 102
5.1.2 TOP-4 SUPPLIERS’ ACTIVITIES & REPORTED REVENUES 103
5.1.3 ACTIVITY – NGK INSULATORS 104
5.1.4 ACTIVITY – COORSTEK 105
5.1.5 ACTIVITY – KYOCERA 106
5.1.6 ACTIVITY – AGC (ASAHI GLASS) 107
5.1.7 ACTIVITY – MARUWA 108
5.1.8 ACTIVITY – FERROTEC 109
5.2 M&A ACTIVITY AND PARTNERSHIPS 110
5.3 PLANT CLOSURES 111
5.4 NEW ENTRANTS 112
5.5 TECHCET ANALYST ASSESSMENT OF CERAMICS SUPPLIERS 113
6 SUB-TIER SUPPLY-CHAIN, CERAMICS 114
6.1 SUB-TIER SUPPLY CHAIN: SOURCES & MARKETS OVERVIEW 115
6.2 SUB-TIER SUPPLY CHAIN: ALUMINA (AL2O3) - ORES AND POWDERS 116
6.2.1 SUB-TIER SUPPLY CHAIN: ALUMINA (AL2O3) PROCESSING BY REGION 117
6.2.2 SUB-TIER SUPPLY CHAIN: ALUMINA (AL2O3) BY SUPPLIER 118
6.2.3 SUB-TIER SUPPLY CHAIN: ALUMINA (AL2O3) – SUPPLIER
PRODUCTS AND GRADES 119
6.3 SUB-TIER SUPPLY CHAIN: SILICON CARBIDE (SIC) - ORES AND POWDERS 120
6.4 SUB-TIER SUPPLY CHAIN: BLANKS 121
6.5 SUB-TIER SUPPLY-CHAIN M&A OR PARTNERSHIP ACTIVITY 123
6.6 SUB-TIER SUPPLY-CHAIN EHS AND LOGISTICS ISSUES 124
6.7 SUB-TIER SUPPLY-CHAIN PLANT UPDATES 125
6.8 SUB-TIER SUPPLY-CHAIN PLANT CLOSURES 126
6.9 SUB-TIER SUPPLY-CHAIN TECHCET ANALYST ASSESSMENT 127
7 PROFILES 128
3M COMPANY
AGC INC.
APPLIED CERAMICS, INC.
ASUZAC INC., FINE CERAMICS DIVISION
CARBORUNDUM UNIVERSAL LTD (CUMI)
...AND 30+ MORE
8 APPENDIX 294
8.1 RAW MATERIAL PRODUCTION DETAILS 295
8.2 ALUMINA PRODUCTION 297
8.3 RAW MATERIAL PRODUCTION PROCESSES – ALUMINIUM NITRIDE AND
BORON NITRIDE 298
8.4 ALUMINUM NITRIDE PRODUCTION PROCESS 299
FIGURES
FIGURE 1.1: CERAMICS REVENUE FORECAST BY SEGMENT 12
FIGURE 1.2: CERAMICS MARKET SHARE % BY SUPPLIER 15
FIGURE 1.3: MOST RECENT QUARTERLY CERAMICS SUPPLIER SALES 16
FIGURE 3.1: GLOBAL ECONOMY AND THE ELECTRONICS SUPPLY CHAIN (2023) 26
FIGURE 3.2: WORLDWIDE SEMICONDUCTOR SALES 27
FIGURE 3.3: TECHCET’S TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRY INDEX (TTSII)
IN 000’S OF NTD 28
FIGURE 3.4: 2023 SEMICONDUCTOR CHIP APPLICATIONS 29
FIGURE 3.5: GLOBAL LIGHT VEHICLE UNIT SALES 31
FIGURE 3.6: ELECTRIFICATION TREND BY WORLD REGION 32
FIGURE 3.7: AUTOMOTIVE SEMICONDUCTOR PRODUCTION 33
FIGURE 3.8: MOBILE PHONE SHIPMENTS, WW ESTIMATES 34
FIGURE 3.9: WORLDWIDE PC AND TABLET FORECAST 35
FIGURE 3.10: TSMC PHOENIX CAMPUS WITH THE 2ND FAB VISIBLE IN
THE BACKGROUND 37
FIGURE 3.11: ESTIMATED GLOBAL FAB SPENDING 2023-2028 38
FIGURE 3.12: FAB EXPANSIONS WITHIN THE US 39
FIGURE 3.13: SEMICONDUCTOR CHIP MANUFACTURING REGIONS OF THE WORLD 40
FIGURE 3.14: GLOBAL TOTAL EQUIPMENT SPENDING (US$ M) AND Y-O-Y CHANGE 41
FIGURE 3.15: ADVANCED LOGIC DEVICE TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP OVERVIEW 42
FIGURE 3.16: DRAM TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP OVERVIEW 43
FIGURE 3.17: 3D NAND TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP OVERVIEW 44
FIGURE 3.18: INTEL OHIO PLANT SITE AS OF FEB. 2024 45
FIGURE 3.19: TECHCET WAFER START FORECAST BYNODE SEGMENTS 48
FIGURE 3.20: TECHCET WORLDWIDE MATERIALS FORECAST 49
FIGURE 4.1: TECHCET WAFER START FORECAST BY NODE SEGMENTS 52
FIGURE 4.2: CERAMICS REVENUE FORECAST BY SEGMENT 56
FIGURE 4.3: CERAMICS MARKET SHARE % BY SUPPLIER 57
FIGURE 4.4: ALUMINUM NITRIDE (ALN) COMPONENTS FORECAST 58
FIGURE 4.5: ALUMINUM NITRIDE (ALN) PARTS MARKET SHARE ESTIMATE 59
FIGURE 4.6: AL2O3 & ALL OTHER COMPONENTS FORECAST 60
FIGURE 4.7: AL2O3 & ALL OTHER PARTS MARKET SHARE ESTIMATE 61
FIGURE 4.8: 99.8% AND HPA (99.99) ALUMINA COMPONENTS FORECAST 62
FIGURE 4.9: SIC (ALL INCLUDING CVD) COMPONENTS FORECAST 63
FIGURE 4.10: SIC (ALL INCLUDING CVD) PARTS MARKET SHARE ESTIMATE 64
FIGURE 4.11: CVD-SIC COMPONENTS FORECAST 65
FIGURE 4.12: CVD-SIC PARTS MARKET SHARE ESTIMATE 66
FIGURE 4.13: CVD-SIC PARTS RELATIVE PRICING 67
FIGURE 4.14: CERAMICS BY REGION (CORP HEADQUARTERS) 68
FIGURE 4.15: CERAMICS SUPPLY CHAIN AND APPLICATION 75
FIGURE 4.16: EXAMPLES OF CERAMICS USED FOR THERMAL PROCESSES 76
FIGURE 4.17: EXAMPLES OF CERAMICS USED FOR DRY ETCHING 77
FIGURE 4.18: EXAMPLE OF CERAMICS USED FOR CVD & EPI 78
FIGURE 4.19: CERAMICS MARKET SHARE % BY SUPPLIER WITH ECHUCKS 79
FIGURE 4.20: OVERVIEW OF ELECTROSTATIC CHUCK TECHNOLOGIES 80
FIGURE 4.21: ELECTROSTATIC CHUCK MARKET SHARE 81
FIGURE 4.22: ELECTROSTATIC CHUCK REVENUE TREND AND FORECAST 82
FIGURE 4.23: 2023 CERAMICS REVENUE SHARE BY REGION 86
FIGURE 4.24: 2023/2022 CHANGE IN REVENUES FOR SPECIFIC CERAMICS
FABRICATORS BY HEADQUARTER COUNTRY BY REGION 87
FIGURE 4.25: GLOBAL CONTAINER FREIGHT RATE INDEX 91
FIGURE 4.26: ASSESSED CONTROL OF TERRAIN AROUND DONETSK 92
FIGURE 4.27: YEMEN’S HOUTHI ATTACKS DISRUPTINGGLOBAL SHIPPING 93
FIGURE 4.28: MIDDLE EAST CONFLICT 94
FIGURE 4.29: PANAMA CANAL SHIPPING 95
FIGURE 4.30: GREENHOUSE GAS PROTOCOL, DETAILED CATEGORIES 96
FIGURE 4.31: SCOPE 3 EMISSIONS FOR SEMICONDUCTOR COMPANIES 96
FIGURE 5.1: 2023 CERAMICS SUPPLIER MARKET SHARE BY REVENUE 101
FIGURE 5.2: MOST RECENT QUARTERLY CERAMICS SUPPLIER SALES 103
FIGURE 5.3: MARUWA CURRENT QUARTER FINANCIALS 108
FIGURE 6.1: 2023 ALUMINA ORES AND POWDERS BY REGION 116
FIGURE 6.2: 2023 ALUMINA PRODUCTION BY REGION 117
FIGURE 6.3: SPECIALTY ALUMINA POWDER BY SUPPLIER 118
TABLES
TABLE 1.1: ELECTRONIC CERAMICS GROWTH OVERVIEW 10
TABLE 1.2: ESTIMATED MARKET SHARE BY SUPPLIER 15
TABLE 3.1: GLOBAL GDP AND SEMICONDUCTOR REVENUES 24
TABLE 3.2: BATTERY ELECTRIC VEHICLE (BEV) REGIONAL TRENDS 32
TABLE 3.3: DATA CENTER SYSTEMS AND COMMUNICATION SERVICES MARKET
SPENDING 2023 36
TABLE 4.1: ESTIMATED MARKET SHARE BY SUPPLIER 57
TABLE 4.2: CERAMICS SUPPLIER LOCATIONS 68
TABLE 4.3: OVERVIEW OF ANNOUNCED 2023/2024 CERAMIC SUPPLIER INVESTMENTS 70
TABLE 4.4: ESTIMATED CERAMICS SHARE BY SUPPLIER 79
TABLE 4.5: REGIONAL CERAMICS FOR SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING MARKETS 88
TABLE 4.6: REGIONAL CERAMICS FOR SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING MARKETS
, CONTINUED 89
TABLE 5.1: 2023 CERAMICS OFFERINGS BY MATERIAL 102
TABLE 5.2: NGK INSULATORS CURRENT QUARTER FINANCIALS 104
TABLE 5.3: #2 KYOCERA CURRENT QUARTER FINANCIALS 106
TABLE 5.4: AGC CURRENT QUARTER FINANCIALS 107
TABLE 5.5: FERROTEC FINANCIALS, SEMI 109
TABLE 5.6: FERROTEC CURRENT QUARTER FINANCIALS 109
TABLE 6.1: PRODUCT OFFERINGS AND PURITY OF LEADING ALUMINA
POWDER PRODUCERS 119
TABLE 6.2: HIGH PURITY SILICON CARBIDE POWDER PRODUCERS RANKING 120
TABLE 6.3: RANKING OF CERAMIC BLANK MANUFACTURERS 121
TABLE 8.1: HIGH PURITY ALUMINA NITRIDE POWDER PRODUCERS RANKING 134